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| SPORTS SERVICE | RATING |
FOOTBALL SELECTIONS LAST UPDATED SUNDAY 1:15 PM CENTRAL (FOR GAMES PLAYED SUNDAY 2/5/2006) |
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| SPORTS MONITOR | 1-5 | 3* PITTSBURGH, 2* UNDER SUPERBOWL PROPS FROM SPORTS MONITOR WERE POSTED AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS PAGE WHICH SHOWED OVER A 14 UNIT PROFIT. (OUR PERFORMANCE IS WELL DOCUMENTED BY THE WORLD THROUGHOUT OUR SITE) |
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| Alatex | 10-20 |
SEA+UNDER (PLAYOFF RECORD 4-1 80%) (Not Rated Plays - Recommendations) Super Bowl Sunday Report:
Alatex Sports Super Bowl Report. Included are both the side and total
recommendation | ||
| American Sports Analysts-(ASA) | 3-7 | 3 PIT |
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| Animal |
R-T |
R-PIT+U |
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| A-Play | 10-25 | 10 SEA+O |
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| Against The Spread - (ATS) |
3-20 |
5 PIT+U |
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| Tony Basich Sports | 1-3 | 1 SEA |
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| Best Bets | 1 | PIT |
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| Bettor's Edge | 1 | R-SEA+O |
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| Big Al's Sportsline |
3-5 |
Big Al's props
SUNDAY Super Bowl Props: 1.) There will not be a score in the first 7 1/2 minutes. (+140). Both coaches have fine run defenses and coaches who prefer ball control. All through the playoffs, and all through the season, in fact, these teams liked to prey on opponents' mistakes. Coaches Mike Holmgren and Bill Cowher prefer ball control styles and it's likely they will look for the other to make a mistake in the first quarter while trying to establish ball control and eat up the clock. Mistakes have been huge in this year's playoffs and often are the difference in deciding Super Bowls. It's most likely we'll see conservative game plans in the first few drives and little scoring. Play this prop 'No,'? there won't be a score in the game's first 7 1/2 minutes. You should get +140 on this prop. SUPER BOWL PROP OF THE YEAR: Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the first half? Yes, -240. Teams go into the hurry-up offense all the time in the last two minutes to try and squeeze out points, regardless of the score because there is a whole half to go. Last year: The Patriots scored a TD with 1:10 left in the first half. The year before: There were two scores in the final minute, a Patriots TD and a Carolina FG on the final play of the half. Before that, QB Brad Johnson threw a TD pass to Keenan McCardell for a 5 yard touchdown with 34 second left. Before that, Tom Brady threw a TD pass to David Patten with 31 seconds left. You get the picture. Play on YES, there will be a score in the final two minutes of the first half. Will a team score three straight times? Yes, -165. This is most common in all NFL games, which is why YES is always the favorite. In this game, the Steelers and Seahawks both have balanced offenses, which makes it tougher to defend. They can run and pass with equal efficiency. The Steelers have played three playoff games and in every one of them they scored three straight times at least once. Play YES, there will be 3 straight scores by one team. Will both teams make a field goal 33 yards or longer? Yes +130. Both teams have reliable field goal kickers. Two keys make this even more likely: 1) Both teams have excellent red zone defenses, so the likelihood of field goals is greater. 2) This game is indoors. No wind makes this a haven for field goal kickers to reach their maximum potential. Play YES, each team will make at least one FG over 33 yards. Gross Passing Yards by Ben Roethlisberger 'over' 218 1/2 yards: Big Ben has really blossomed this postseason, with accurate precision and excellent decision making ability. And remember, all three playoff games were on the road, with fans cheering against him. Yet, he's produced, and produced big. The Steelers have also opened up the offense far more. They're not the three-clouds of dust and a punt as in the past under Bill Cowher. There's no reason to change that formula now. In addition, Seattle is No. 5 in the NFL at stopping the run, but 25th against the pass. No doubt the Steelers will attack that Seattle weakness. Play over 218 1/2 passing yards by Ben Roethlisberger, -110. TD Passes by Ben Roethlisberger 'over' 1 1/2: Again, the Steelers playbook has been far more unorthodox in the postseason than usual. Simply put, they are allowing Big Ben to throw the ball anytime, including near the goal line. They surprised the Colts and Broncos by throwing for touchdowns on first downs even in goal line situations. It wouldn't be a surprise to see him throw at least 2 or 3 TDs against Seattle's 25th rated pass defense. Play Ben Roethlisberger TD passes over 1 1/2, -110. |
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| Blazer |
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3 PIT |
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| California Sports | 2-5 | 3 PIT |
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| Captain | 5-25 | 20 PIT, 10 UNDER (PLAYOFF RECORD 10-5 67%) |
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| Cobra | R-T | R-PIT |
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| Dave Cokin |
R-T |
R-SEA+U |
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| Cowtown | 1-5 | 3 SEA |
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| Doc's Enterprises | 1-5 | 6 UNDER, 5 PIT |
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| Dr. Bob Sports |
2-4 |
PASS Seattle (+4) 23 Pittsburgh 24 The pointspread in the Super Bowl is determined by public perception more than a normal NFL game because more amateur money is going to be placed on this game than on any other game all season. Pittsburgh may be worthy of being called the favorite in this game, but the line should not be more than -2 or -2 ½ points and Seattle is certainly the percentage play in this game. I also like the fact that Super Bowl underdogs with the same or more number of victories (including the playoffs), are 8-2-1 ATS since Super Bowl 15. I will consider Seattle a Strong Opinion in this game and I have no opinion on the total. Super Bowl Propositions The only Super Bowl proposition I see with any value is Seattle’s Matt Hasselbeck to go UNDER in passing yards (the line ranges from 234 ½ yards to 240 ½ yards). My math model projects 191 net passing yards for Seattle and 14 sack yards, which gives Hasselbeck 205 gross passing yards. I’ll consider Hasselbeck Under in gross passing yards a Strong Opinion. |
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| The Edge | 10-20 | 10 PIT+O |
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| Executive Sports | 100-600 | 250 UNDER (PLAYOFF RECORD 5-2 71%) |
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| Jim Feist | 5-20 | 10 UNDER |
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| Game Day |
1-5 |
4 PIT |
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| Headquarters | 5-10 | 5 PIT |
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| Inside Information | 1-3 | 2 PIT, 1 OVER (PLAYOFF RECORD 7-3 70%) |
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| JB Sports | R-T | PASS OPINIONS SEA+U |
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| JD's Key | 5-15 | 5 PIT |
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| L.A.T. Systems | 1 | PIT |
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| Friends of Mike Lee | 3-12 | 6 PIT |
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| LVSS (HR Jones) | 10-20 | 10 PIT |
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| Nation-Wide (Gold Sheet) | R-T-7 | R-SEA Gold Sheet
Seattle 27 Pittsburgh 24 |
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| Mike Neri | 2-10 | 3 SEA+O ALSO, THREE STAR: Seattle +165 on the money line. SUPER BOWL PROPS - ALL PROPS ARE TWO STAR SELECTIONS Pittsburgh's first offensive play will be a RUN? Yes -110 Will both teams make a field goal 33 yards or longer? Yes +130 Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the first half? Yes -243 OVER 10 in the Third Quarter OVER 13.5 in the Fourth Quarter Seattle +1/2 in the fourth quarter |
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| Larry Ness | 10-20 | 22 PIT Here's why I like Pittsburgh and why I'm making them a RARE 22* play! The AFC was BY FAR the stronger conference and while the Steelers are a No. 6 seed, they are much better than that. An injury to Roethlisberger and an unsettled RB position early, really hurt. While Parker had a decent year and Bettis began to contribute by mid-season, the Steelers never hit their stride, until Big Ben got healthy. At 7-5, Pitt won its final four games, covering all but its Week 17 win over Detroit. The Steelers then won at Cincy, Indy and Denver. In the Indy and Denver games, the offense came out aggressively, opening up early leads. Big Ben, unlike his rookie year when he played poorly in the postseason, has been superb, with seven TDs and just one interception. As for the defense, they sacked Manning five times, stopped James and completely confused the Colts. Against Denver, they forced Plummer into a turnover 'machine', after he was near-flawless all season, particularly at home. The Seahawks played a weak schedule during the reg season and in two playoff wins, were home versus the NFC's No. 6 and No. 5 seeds. Washington was playing its 3rd straight road game and continued its late-season poor play on offense, while Carolina (playing its 4th straight on the road), played its WORST game of the year. Seattle is NOT a championship-caliber team, while Pitt (15-1 LY) would have been 13-3 or 14-2 TY, if healthy. The Steelers are BY FAR the better team and the 'hotter' team. 22* Pit Steelers |
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| Northcoast Football | 1-5 | 3 PIT, 2 OVER Phil Steele of Northcoast football in his newsletter Power Sweep has a 2* Over 47.
Super Bowl Propositions: Triple play: Over 13.5 in the 4Q Triple Play: Pittsburgh 1st TD will be a TD Pass (-115) Double Play: Willie Parker Over 58.5 rush yards Double Play:Matt Hasselback Under 21 completions Double Play: Hines Ward Over 66.5 receiving yards Single Play: Total First Downs by Pittsburgh Over 19.5 Single Play Ben Roethlisberger Over 219.5 passing yards Single Play: Player to score 1st TD, Pitt Heather Miller (10-1) Single Play: Player to score 1st TD, Pitt Antwaan Randle El (15-1) |
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| Player's Group | 1 | SEA+O |
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| Pointwise | 2-5 | 2 PIT |
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| Power Plays | 5-10 | 10 SEA |
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| Preferred Picks | 3-5 | 3 SEA Marc Lawrence SEATTLE over Pittsburgh by 3 Welcome to Super Bowl XL in Detroit. Some say it stands for Seattle's XL-ent Adventure. In truth, it reads more like the parka size of preference in Detroit this weekend. While it's not exactly at the top of the most desirable destinations in the world, it beats the proposed locale – Vladivostok – as a host city for a runner-up bowl for championship game losers (Anchorage was booked). Pot shots aside, the game itself is a matchup of two teams that peaked at season's end, strong enough to earn a berth in the biggest football game of them all. Pittsburgh's journey has been historic, to say the least. Three of the Steelers' five losses this season occurred on the final play of the game. They recorded no less than NINE ROAD WINS while running the table on the playoff road, defeating the AFC's #1, 2 and 3 seeds to become the first-ever #6 seed to make it to the Super Bowl. Unlike 23 of the last 27 SuperBowl winners that benefited from a week of rest at the onset of the playoffs, the Steelers find themselves rested for the first time in four months. Speaking of rest, Pittsburgh head coach Bill Cowher is 14-8 SU with rest in his NFL career, but only 6-11 ATS when favored.Cowher's clubs also tend to struggle indoors in dome stadiums where he is just 7-8 SU & 6-8-1 ATS in his career, including 1-4 SU & ATS (and 0-5 UNDER) against an opponent that is off back-toback wins. He also comes up empty when favored against teams from the NFC, going 9-20 ATS – including 1-8 SU & ATS when laying 4 or less points. While the Steelers are 25-4 SU behind QB Ben Roethlisberger, Cowher has never covered the spread in a PM EST ABC TV game against the Seahawks in his career, going 2-4 SU & 0-5-1ATS (favored five times). Mike Holmgren, on the other hand, is 4-1 SU & ATS against Pittsburgh in his career, winning straight-up both times he was installed as the underdog. The history books tell us that four NFC teams arrived to the Super Bowl sporting perfect 10-0 SU records at home. All four of them – '85 Chicago (46-10), '86 NY Giants (39-20), '96 Green Bay (35-21), and St. Louis (23-16) –left with rings. Throughout the course of the playoffs, underdogs that own the higher win percentage are a glitzy 19-8 SU & 21-5-1 ATS, including 4-0-1 ATS in the Super Bowl. Seattle is a 13-win team from the regular season and those clubs are 42-21-2 ATS in the post-season when squaring off a against sub .777 opposition, including 21-1 SU & 18-4 ATS if they are a dog or favorite of less than 10 points and own a win percentage of .823 or higher. Before closing up our database, remember these juicy Super Bowl tidbits: the last nine Super Bowls have seen the favorite go 6-3 SU & 1-6- 2 ATS; the last 12 favorites to score 30 or less points are 0-11-1 ATS; teams who score 27 or more points are 22-1 SU & 20-2-1 ATS; teams who score less than 20 points are 0-21 SU & 3-17-1ATS. So what we have is a #1 seeded Seattle squad that has allowed more than 26 points only ONCE this season, taking points from a #6 seeded Wild Card team in a complete role reversal from the championship games (the Seahawks won and covered as a favorite, the Steelers won as a dog). We're not saying the linesmaker is wrong. We're saying Seattle is right. |
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| Private Players | 1-5 | 1 SEA+U |
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| Randy Radtke |
R-T |
T-SEA, R-OVER |
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| Raider Sports | 5-10 | 5 PIT |
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| Rocky Mountain | 3-7 | 4 SEA |
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| Wayne Root | R-T | R-PIT+O |
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| Score |
100-1000 |
300 SEA |
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| Special "K" |
R-T |
T-PIT |
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| Scott Spreitzer |
R-T |
T-PIT, (TOP PLAY ON PROP BELOW) I'm laying the points with the Steelers. First the angle. You simply play ON the SB entry that won their conference championship as an underdog when their SB opponent won as a favorite. This angle is a perfect 6-0 with one push. Most recently, Carolina got the money against New England 2 years ago - and Tampa Bay crushed Oakland 3 years ago. On the field, Seattle will be hard-pressed to run the football against the Steelers' 3-4. Seattle has face three teams that use this defense, but 2 came against San Fran & Houston. The only quality 3-4 they faced came against the Cowboys. Alexander was held to 60 yards on 20 carries and the Seahawks barely escaped with a 13-10 home field win...scoring 10 late points. When Pittsburgh has the ball I expect big days receiving for Willie Parker out of the backfield and for TE Heath Miller, one of the best in the league. Also, look for special teams to come into play with the Steelers owning a huge advantage in punt return units. Seattle has been just a tad above average away from home this season, losing to Jacksonville and Washington, beating the Rams by only 6, escaping SFO by only 2 points, and pulling out a 4 point win over a weak Tennessee squad. And, well -- we've seen what the Burgh can do away from home in the playoffs. Add it up and we have a 10-to-14 point win for the Steelers. Pittsburgh minus points is my Super Bowl winner. Thanks! Good Luck! Scott. Jerramy Stevens over or under three receptions: My top 20* prop in the Super Bowl is a play on Seattle tight end Jerramy Stevens to go over three receptions. The Seahawks are facing just their fourth 3-4 defensive scheme they've seen this season. And, for all intents and purposes, it's really just their second 3-4, if you consider two of those came against the hapless 49ers and Texans. The one true 3-4 they saw this year was against Dallas. The Seahawks were forced to go over the middle to the tight end and Stevens grabbed five receptions for 60 yards. To beat the 3-4, you must include the tight end as a major player in the offense. My top play is to take Stevens to have more than three receptions. It's my top play because it's a prop where it doesn't matter who wins the game. Whether Seattle wins or loses, Stevens will have to perform. |
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| Lenny Stevens |
10-20 |
10 PIT (PLAYOFF RECORD 7-3 70%) Prop Bets Pit -2 in 1ST half Heath miller to score 1st TD of game |
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| Kelso Sturgeon | R-T | T-SEA, R-OVER |
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| Total Edge | 1 | OVER |
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| Underdog | Lock | PASS |
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| Wildcat | 5-20 | 7 UNDER |
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| Winning Points | 5-10 | 5 PIT+U (PLAYOFF RECORD 8-4 67%) |
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| Wise Guy's | 1 | SEA |
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| SPECIAL SUPERBOWL ADDITION OF..... ADDED SERVICES |
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| MIKE ROSE |
5 PIT, 3 OVER (PLAYOFF RECORD 4-1 80%) |
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| HEISMAN TROPHY CLUB |
SEA+U |
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| TY GASTON |
SEA I got a gut feeling this is the year the offshore sportsbooks, Vegas, and the bookies make a killing on the Superbowl. As long as they keep taking all the Pittsburgh money, when all is said and done, Pittsburgh is the wrong side in this game! TY GASTON’S FINAL SCORE: SEATTLE 31 PITTSBURGH 21 |
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| HARMON FORCAST |
Super Bowl XL - Sunday, Feb. 5, 2006 *Pittsburgh 24 Seattle 23 -- The Steelers, listed as the home team for Super Bowl XL, have chosen to wear the road whites that have been successful three times in the postseason. That means the Seahawks will wear their blue jerseys, worn while winning two home playoff games. Both teams can run the ball. Seattle and RB Shaun Alexander produced the league's third-best rushing attack. Pittsburgh, with Willie Parker and Jerome Bettis, was fifth in the NFL in rushing. Both the Steelers (third) and Seahawks (fifth) had top 5 rushing defenses. So, while both teams would like to run the ball, it won't be easy for either one. As far as the passing game, Pittsburgh's 24th-ranked attack will go against the NFL's 25th-rated passing defense. Seattle's 13th-rated passing offense will face the league's 16th-ranked passing defense. On paper, this seems to have the makings of a great, close game. Then again, many Super Bowls seemed great on paper but turned out otherwise. |
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FRANK ROSENTHAL |
NFL SUPER BOWL XL SUNDAY FEBUARY 5TH SEAHAWKS VS STEELERS THE ACE TOOK AN EARLY LEAD ON THE STEELERS -3.5 & UNDER 47. WHICH WAY HE'LL WIND-UP ON GAME DAY REMAINS A ?...... |
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| ESPN SCOUTS EDGE |
Scouts' Edge
These are teams that have traveled very different paths to the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh has already made history by becoming the only No. 6 seed to ever make it this far. As the No. 1 seed in the NFC, Seattle has taken advantage of its home-field edge. Despite the seedings, Pittsburgh comes in as the favorite. You can bet, Seattle head coach Mike Holmgren and his team have not let that go unnoticed. Pittsburgh has played the underdog role throughout the playoffs, and now the shoe will be on the other foot. This game is really going to boil down to the play up front. For the Seahawks to win, their offensive line must play the best game of the season. Alexander is going to get hit early and often. He must continue to show he is willing to run inside and grind out tough yards between the tackles. In pass protection, Seattle's offensive line must be able to adjust on the fly, something that both Indianapolis and Denver could not do versus the blitz-happy Pittsburgh defense. The Steelers have taken a different approach on offense. We used to talk about their chances of winning or losing resting with the running game. That can't be said anymore, as Roethlisberger has firmly established himself as the man driving Pittsburgh's offense. He has been unflappable thus far but will get a lot of pressure from a very underrated Seattle front seven that finished the regular season ranked first in sacks. Although neither team could have gotten here without a win streak, it is hard to go against a Pittsburgh team that has completely dismantled the No. 3, No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in pretty easy fashion. For that reason, we look for Cowher to get that elusive first Super Bowl win. Prediction: Steelers 24, Seahawks 20 |
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| Chris Berman from ESPN |
SEATTLE
Seattle 24 Pittsburgh 23 |
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| STEVE MERRIL |
UNDER 9 ½ total points (1st Quarter).
Sport: NFL - Prop Game: SUPERBOWL Prediction: Steelers/Seahawks UNDER 9 ½ total points (1st Quarter). Reason: The Super Bowl has become more competive over the past decade as free agency has eliminated the dominant teams of the 1980's and 1990's. This parity has led to some interesting scoring patterns over the past ten years. The level of talent has been equal in many games, which means the head coaches come in with a more conservative gameplan and are waiting for the other side to make the first mistake. This often leads to high-percentage, short passing plays and extra running plays in the first quarter. This keeps the game clock moving and shortens the quarter and it also prevents scoring opportunities. In fact, there has not been a single point scored in either of the past two Super Bowls and overall the first quarter has averaged just 8.3 points per game over the past ten Super Bowls with ten points or less being scored in eight of those ten games. The past six years has seen 0, 0, 6, 3, 7, and 3 points scored in the opening period. Both Pittsburgh and Seattle lack Super Bowl experience as only six players combined have ever appeared in the big game. Both head coaches, Bill Cowher and Mike Holmgren have coached in Super Bowls and they will want to start with a very conservative gameplan to minimize mistakes. Both offenses are built around powerful ball-control running games and this should lead to another low-scoring first quarter this year. |
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| CYBER SPORTS |
10 PIT
Cyber Sports Picks Guaranteed play on SBXL. Seahawks (15-3) @ Steelers (14-5) Rating = 10 Star Selection Take Pittsburgh Steelers -4 |
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| BRANDON LANG |
1000* PIT -190 MONEY LINE 500* PIT -4 Props Bettis scores a TD Hasselback throws an INT Seattle never leads in the game +220 He spoke on the radio and gave out his pick. It is a 1000 star Pittsburgh on the money line. |
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| ALLAN BOSTON |
UNDER |
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| TOM STRYKER |
PIT Tom Stryker's 32-7 ATS Super Bowl XL Payday |
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| The 35-3-1 Superbowl System |
The one that correctly predicts the SB winner usng an interesting array
of statistics, the offshoot of the old Hank Stram system. It awards 77 and a half points. the team that recieves
most of them is the play. Pit is awarded
43 and a half and Seattle gets 24.
Just a note of interest "For what it's worth" |
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| NELLY'S SPORTSLINE |
SEA+U |
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| BUCKEYE |
PIT |
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| ANDY ISKOE |
SEA+O |
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| LEM BANKER |
UNDER Proposition Bets: * Seahawks will have a 2nd half lead * Alexander out-rushes Bettis * Brown kicks more than 7 points * Reed kicks less than 8 1/2 points |
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| ESPN's Hank "The Hammer'" Goldberg: |
Pittsburgh (-4) 27 Seattle 20
PROPS: Over 1st Half 23.5 Hasselbeck Over 225 yds passing Heath Miller to score 1st TD (10 to 1) Over 1.5 combined INT thrown |
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| BEN BURNS |
UNDER Both teams were involved in high-scoring games in the Conference Finals. I feel that has caused the line to be higher than it would be otherwise and has created value with the 'Under'. The Steelers and Seahawks have faced each other 12 times since 1981. Those 12 games averaged just 33 points and only one of them finished with more than 47 points (it had 48) and that was way back in 1983. Over the past three seasons the Under is a combined 16-6 when the Seahawks and Steelers have played on turf and also a profitable 8-1 when the two teams have played in a dome. Both defenses have been playing very well during the playoffs thus far. Seattle held Washington and Carolina to an average of just 12 points while Pittsburgh held three powerful offenses: Cincinnati, Indianapolis and Denver to 18 or less points each. Both Hasselbeck and Rothlisberger are certainly capable quarterbacks. However, let's make no mistake about it, both these teams are run-oriented. As you know, a heavy dose of the run helps to chew up the clock. I expect that to be the case from both teams at Ford Field on 'Super Sunday'. I feel the number is too high and I'm playing on the UNDER |
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