|
- 60 YEARS COMBINED EXPERIENCE - |
| PRIVATE ACTION MEMBERS PAGE........ |
| Football, Basketball, Baseball, Hockey, Arena Football, Golf, Tennis, Boxing,
Horse Racing, Auto Racing, Soccer, Halfs/ Quarters, Run Lines, Futures, Props, and more. We will advise on any wagerable
event.
|
| You'll
receive daily insights into the handicapping minds of Joe Michaels and Greg Allen! Each having developed over a 30 year period their own special sources and unique expertise! |
|
|
GREG AND I WILL USE A 1 TO 3 UNIT RATING SYSTEM TO VALUE OUR WAGERS. I WILL ACTUALLY
MAKE OR ALREADY HAVE MADE THESE PLAYS PERSONALLY! THE PLAYS WILL BE POSTED
AS SOON AS I HAVE THEM READY NO LATER THAN 1 HOUR BEFORE GAME TIME. HOWEVER,
I MAY POST SOME MUCH EARLIER SOMETIMES DAYS TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF SPECIFIC
NUMBERS
|
||||
| NOTE: FINAL | LAST UPDATED 4/8/2006 | FINAL POSTING BY 5:30 PM CENTRAL IF NECESSARY |
||
| SPORT |
PLAYS |
COMMENTS |
||
| An explanation seems to be in order regarding our private action plays and our executive plays. Our private action is in addition
to our executive plays. We play both our private and executive games. I hope
this clears up the numerous questions and confusion in this area. |
||||
| ALL SPORTS WITH AVAILABLE TOTALS |
2* WASHINGTON UNDER 209 (NBA) 1* METS OVER 7.5 EVEN (BASES) 1* MILWAUKEE OVER 8.5 +105 (BASES) 1* HOUSTON OVER 7.5 +110 (BASES) 1* CLEVELAND OVER 9.5 +105 (BASES) |
MY TOTALS LINE ANALYSIS PLAYS: | ||
| BASEBALL |
2* FLORIDA +145 1* ST. LOUIS -120 1* WHITE SOX -160 1* BOSTON -140 |
MY
LINE ANALYSIS ARE GENERALLY UNDERDOG PLAYS AND HARDLY EVER OVER -160.
THE VIG IS JUST TO HIGH TO EXPECT A LONG TERM PROFIT. THIS IS BASED ON
MATHEMATICAL EQUATIONS WHICH WE KNOW OR SHOULD KNOW BASEBALL IS THE
MOST HEAVILY STATISTICALLY WEIGHTED SPORT. MAKING IT BASED
ON THE NUMBER OF PLAYS AND STATS AVAILABLE. THE MOST PROFITABLE SPORT
TO INVEST IN. (JUST NOT AS MUCH FUN TO WATCH AS FOOTBALL OR BASKETBALL) |
||
| HBO PPV (Saturday, 9 ET) Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas Welterweights: |
3* FLOYD MAYWEATHER JR. -500 OVER ZAB JUDAH Mayweather has no intention of following Riddick Bowe's lead and dumping the belt into the trash where it belongs when he wins it. Rest assured, he'll win it. But if he cared about the sport that has made him rich, he'd decline to even fight for this tainted title. The fight, you may remember, was supposed to be for the
undisputed welterweight championship before the supposedly great Judah
was beaten by a guy with nine losses. I VERY RARELY LAY SUCH A LARGE NUMBER UNLESS OF COURSE I SEE THE LINE AS BEING 4 OR 5 TIMES LESS WHAT IT SHOULD BE. |
|
||
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* V SINGH +130 OVER P MICHELSON 2* C CAMPBELL +120 OVER A SCOTT 2* S APPLEBY -115 OVER T. CLARK 2* T LEHMAN -190 OVER S MARUYAMA WIN - BOTH MISSED CUT, LEHMAN BEAT MARUYAMA BY THREE STROKES |
THE COURSE IS LONGER HOWEVER
STILL REQUIRES MASTERFUL BALL POSITION. THESE ARE THE PLAYERS I SEE
HAVING THE RIGHT QUALITIES MATCHED UP AT THE THE RIGHT PRICE. . |
||
FUTURE EVENTS
|
||||
| NBA TOTAL WINS POSTED 11/1/2005 |
2* DETROIT OVER 51.5 WON (EASY WIN WITH ABOUT A MONTH LEFT IN THE REGULAR SEASON...GOTTA LOVE IT) 2* PORTLAND UNDER 28.5 (BLAZERS LOOKING GOOD ALSO) |
TOTAL NUMBER OF WINS FOR THE REGULAR SEASON. |
||
| NBA CHAMPIONS 2006 POSTED 9/25/05 |
1* MIAMI HEAT 7/2 TO BE THE 2006 NBA CHAMPIONS |
It is very black and white in the NBA (mostly black) this upcoming season. There are just 4 premier teams. Miami and Detroit in the east, San Antonio and Phoenix in the west. Baring star injuries or mass injuries the rest of the league has no chance. The remaining teams are wallowing in mediocrity or at the bottom of the pack. I like in my opinion the more talented (with some added veteran bench help) and without a doubt more hungry team to get it done if Shaq stays healthy. | ||
| BASEBALL TOTAL WINS FOR THE SEASON POSTED 4/1/06 |
2* CLEVELAND OVER 88.5 2* YANKEES UNDER 98 2* LA DODGERS OVER 85.5 2* CUBS UNDER 86 2* WASHINGTON UNDER 76 |
LOVE THE VALUE OVER AND UNDER ON
ALL GAMES EXCEPT WASHINGTON (LINE IS ABOUT RIGHT) WHO WON'T BE SNEAKING
UP ON ANYONE THIS SEASON. |
||
|
|
ON WEEKENDS, I MAY HAVE A SECOND REPORT LATER IN THE DAY. SHOULD THIS BE THE CASE, YOU WILL BE ADVISED ON THE
TIME THAT I WILL POST MY PLAYS AND IF THERE IS A
NEED TO CHECK BACK LATER FOR
MORE INFORMATION. IT IS MY SINCERE PLEASURE TO
WORK FOR YOU AND YOU CAN DEPEND ON MY TIRELESS RESEARCH. |
||
| NOTE: FINAL | LAST UPDATED 4/8/2006 | FINAL POSTING BY 5:30 PM |
|
SPORT |
PLAYS
|
COMMENTS |
| NBA |
3* NEW JERSEY +3.5 |
I
am going to jump on the Nets as soon as the line is hung. They have put
together one of the most impressive winning streaks this year at 14 in
a row while covering 11 of the 14 spreads. |
| NBA |
2* CHICAGO -6 |
These
teams are fighting for the final playoff spot in the East. The Bulls
are doing a better job at the pursuit as the Sixers have lost 12 of
their last 17 and Chicago has won four in a row(all covers), one of
them was a seven point win at Philadelphia three days ago. |
| MLB | 2* DETROIT OVER 10.5 RUNS | Fifteen dingers in their first three games and the entire team is hitting for average. (This beat the MLB record for homers in the first three games of a season by five.) |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
1* SERGIO GARCIA TO WIN THE MASTERS 15-1 | |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
3* R GOOSEN -130 OVER E ELS |
I
have a few plays that go against Els due to his knee surgery and the persistant problems. I do not
anticipate that he's had enough time to prepare his game since his
rehabilation. Goosen has always shown up for this one and has
never finished worse than 13th at Augusta. |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
3* S GARCIA -120 OVER D TOMS WIN - TOMS MISSED CUT |
Sergio
has quietly earned a position as the 6th ranked player in the world.
His stats have not been stellar this season and it's my bet that he'll
be on the first page this weekend. David Toms has always
struggled at Augusta, |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* JM OLAZABAL -215 OVER S AMES |
Olazabal has a Masters record that speaks for itself. In the last 15 years he has won twice, finished second in his third appearance there as a professional in 1991, was fourth in 2002 and has three other top ten finishes. |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* S VERPLANK -135 OVER R PAMPLING |
Any
player who ranks second on the PGA Tour in putting average has a chance to contend
in major championships, where rolling the rock is so important. Verplank seems
to have figured something out about Augusta National; after missing the cut in
his first five Masters starts, he's reached the weekend in the last four,
including a T-8 finish three years ago. |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* F COUPLES -120 OVER KJ CHOI WIN - CHOI MISSED CUT |
Couples has the lowest career scoring average among players with at least 75 rounds at Augusta, averaging 71.86 in 84 rounds. |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* M WEIR -145 OVER C CAMPBELL |
The 2003 Masters champion has proven he can be successful at Augusta National, earning a T-5 result while dealing with a neck injury last year. |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* P MICKELSON -145 OVER E ELS |
Mickelson sure likes Georgia, where he just defended his BellSouth Classic title emphatically. In his last eight appearances in the state Lefty has three wins – including the ’04 Masters – and seven top-10 finishes. |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* L DONALD +130 OVER E ELS |
Luke
Donald was impressive in his 1st Masters appearance last season. He
went: 68-77-69-69 and finished in 3rd place. I don't expect him
to toss up a pair of 7's this year. |
| PGA TOUR THE MASTERS Tees off early Thursday |
2* C CAMPBELL +120 OVER A SCOTT |
This
is a play against Adam Scott. Although showing lots of promise in his
short career, he has never finished better than 9th place in his 19
major starts. |
|
FUTURE EVENTS
Future propositions are not available at every sportsbook. I post my propositions as I make the wagers. |
||
| ARENA FOOTBALL (posted 1/27/06) |
2* GEORGIA FORCE 9/2 TO WIN THE ARENA BOWL |
I am going to make this wager as soon as this prop hits the board. The last two seasons, Georgia knocked on the door. In 2005, the Force won the National Conference Championship along with their Division Championship. In 2004, the Force finished a franchise and league best 11-5. The team finished 10-0 at home, including two victories in the playoffs in route to ArenaBowl XIX. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* SAN JOSE TO WIN THE WESTERN CONFERENCE 7-1 |
The Sharks are talented and relatively deep at all positions while not too old at any one spot.
Good coaching will take them to the top. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
1* SAN JOSE TO WIN THE STANLEY CUP 18-1 |
Offensively, the Sharks are fast, strong, deep and talented, especially on the attack, and are decent on the power play. Defensively, they are sound and strong as Scott Hannan, Kyle McLaren and Brad Stuart move the puck smartly. They have a solid netminder in Evgeni Nabokov, who does all things well and has improved his consistency. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* DETROIT UNDER 99.5 POINTS |
They don't have the depth of the past. Their old players are too old and their
goaltending isn't good enough to play the up-tempo game they love over an entire
season. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* ST LOUIS UNDER 78.5 POINTS |
They dumped some money players and made too many moves in the offseason. Couple that with a possible sale and the majority of players on one-year contracts, is bad chemistry. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* CALGARY OVER 96.5 POINTS |
They are tough, physical, hungry, have a leader and a scorer in Iginla, and they are well coached and managed. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* COLORADO UNDER 94.5 POINTS |
Could they finally miss the playoffs? Yes. Losing great players is often the crutch a team on the decline looks for. If that mindset sets in, it could be a hard fall. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* MINNESOTA UNDER 84.5 POINTS |
This team couldn't score in the past, not at even strength, not on the power
play. Marian Gaborik is their horse, but he's battling groin problems and that
will hurt his effectiveness again. This is a rebuilding year for Minnesota. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* WASHINGTON OVER 62.5 POINTS |
GM Don Waddell has brought in players who know how to win, a quality missing on this franchise. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
3* SAN JOSE OVER 96.5 POINTS |
This team does not have a weakness. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
1* TAMPA BAY OVER 102.5 POINTS |
This team is talented, speedy and surprisingly tough. There is nothing to suggest complacency among the trio of superstars -- Richards, Lecavalier and St. Louis -- and Grahame has the tools to make people forget about Khabibulin. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
1* BUFFALO UNDER 78.5 POINTS |
Buffalo has an entire roster of second-tier producers. The Sabres will be
behind the eight ball offensively the entire season and have one of the weakest netminder corps in the league. |
| NHL (posted 9/29/05) |
2* MONTREAL OVER 97.5 POINTS |
Jose Theodore is a world-class goalie. The defense, while young, has a tremendous upside and is already battle tested. Offensively, Alexander Perezhogin, suspended for all of last year's AHL schedule for a vicious stick-swinging incident in the 2004 playoffs, Perezhogin has terrific offensive tools and could find himself playing a significant role in a league where skill is expected to be at a premium. Resigning Alex Kovalev. For the first time in years, the Canadians have an elite scorer in their lineup that has the ability to win a game on his own and makes those who play around him better through sheer osmosis. |
| MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL 2006 (posted 2/23/2006) |
3* NY YANKEES TO WIN THE WORLD SERIES 4-1 |
With the addition of Johnny Damon and Steinbrenner's "guarantee"...I have all the confidence that the Bombers will pick up another trophy after a five year drought. They've been close during the last five years.They lost to Arizona in 2001 and to Florida in 2003, were eliminated by the Angels in the first round of the playoffs in 2002 and 2005, and wasted a three-game lead against Boston in the 2004 AL championship series. |